My friend Jack Gold (Jack Gold Associates), has distilled the mobile hype into 15 elegant trends for 2011. While you probably know most, a few may surprise you, like the rising cost of carrier data plans (#3) and the continued pervasiveness of clunky laptops (#9). Bottom line: we’re speeding into an exciting time for mobile. Here’s a quick summary of Jack Gold’s top10 mobile trends.
- Mobile phone will replace land lines at work, with 25%-35% of business users switching to mobiles in the next 2-3 years.
- Increased mobile use can cause security and governance problems for the IT department.
- The costs to purchase cell phones will fall, but data plan costs will rise.
- Because of #3, mobile cost containment will become a major issue.
- The Android will capture more market share, but will not become completely dominant.
- Mobile chip wars will continue.
- It will take 2-3 years for all carriers to upgrade their networks for full 4G capability.
- “Glass browsers” will become dominant as most users switch to a cloud computing and Software as a Service model.
- Laptops stick around for a while yet, but by 2014-2015 other alternatives, such as tablets with Glass Browsers connected to the cloud, will start to take over.
- More processing power on mobiles will lead to interesting new ways to interact with a mobile device, including voice control, biometric input, motion control, etc.
Here's a copy of his full overview (with 5 more trends). It’s an easy and quick read with bullets to help you make your mobile point in any management meeting or mobile product pitch: http://www.thestreet.com/story/10970787/1/15-tech-trends-to-emerge-by-2014.html
We’re in for an interesting ride.